ENGAME: Reactionary Regulation Pt1
Monday, September 29th, 2008In the aftermath of Enron came SarBox, arguably the most destructive regulatory reform to hit capital formation in a generation. Post 911 we saw an emotional Congress rush to judgement. Who can calculate the half life of the damage done both domestically and abroad by this rush to judgement? And now, we’ve got a bill that’s custom tuned to a reactionary refrain. While it is far from certain that the bill gets passed, it is well to be aware of hastily made decisions and their aftermath. One thing is certain: new regulation is coming.
And while it is true that the failures and excesses of decisionmaking at the big banks beggers the imagination, and while it is also true that fantastic amounts of wealth have been destroyed, (and one might wonder at the relative lack of oversight at the big firms while small firms are punished daily) it is important to guard against the potential of reactionary regulation which would further hamstring the process of cap formation. There is still money on the sidelines, money that did not get washed away in this latest implosion called subprime. There is still a tremendous amount of money in Private equity, and all of it needs a home. And it is imperative, going forward, that the coming transformation in private capital formation doesn’t get tied up in a web of new counterproductive regulation.
Now that consolidation is creating several “favored”, gigantic, can’t-fail banks, those banks are ratcheting down risk parameters. Folks who engage in capital formation may no longer find happy homes at the majors, as the majors gravitate toward an ever more rarefied clientelle. And this is where it gets interesting – this author believes that contrary to popular opinion, there will likely be a plethora of new tiny capital formation boutiques coming to market, filling the gaps. And this, ironically, after the FINRA has done so much work to eliminate small firms… But private capital formation may become a much more active space, as small firms and advisors work to service a range of smaller clients – with larger Risk.
Private capital formation may start to ocurr in new ways, as a new generation of boutiques enter the market. Club deals may become all-but ubiquitous. And the growth of smaller, faster players may be exactly what the market needs.
Already we’re seeing signs of new kinds of activity in the PPX. Smaller firms are becomming much more active in recent days – in contrast to the relative lack of activity on the street. The question is whether this momentum will be sustained, or if it is simply a temporary reaction due to the current seeming impassivity on the street.
If past is truly prologue, then we have our work cut out for us, insofar as prevention of potential bad regulation. With a potential proliferation in small firms (or simply more small firms engaging in capital formation), there will likely be a proliferation of regulation. It is our job to make sure that Congess and the regiulators understand the dangers of reactionary regiulation.
We all, as individuals, must all take a good look at any proposed regulation. This is now more important than ever before. And we need to let our representatives know when proposals would be counter productive. There will always be cheats and those looking to game the system, That is why we have laws – including the bankruptcy laws. We must make sure that the any new set of regs benefits the process of cap formation and the public trust alike.





