Investors should be careful about listening to old news, yet it seems many claims of the financial media have a shelf life longer than they deserve.
Case in point: Index fund sales skyrocketed after the financial media, with a helping hand from John Bogle and Jonathan Clements, claimed that the vast majority of actively managed funds failed to beat the S&P 500.
The chart below shows the fine run that the S&P 500 Composite Index enjoyed during the 4 years from 1995 through 1998. The annual chart numbers represent return rankings of the S&P 500 Composite Index and 30 domestic fund categories. Grey-shaded areas indicate years in which an investment category beat the S&P 500. Note the grey void in chart 3! It coincides with the media jumping on the index fund bandwagon. However, the broader picture presents a different conclusion. Except for the period 1995-1998, the S&P 500 Index finished the average calendar year in 17th position against the average return for each of these fund categories.
Maybe it is time to get off that Can’t Beat the S&P 500 Bandwagon. Bogle and Clements probably won’t, but maybe your clients and prospects should. (see table 2). Here is the complete study.
CHART 1